With a seasonally-adjusted change of -0.2% in industrial production in July 2025, 7 of the 15 areas surveyed by the IBGE followed this negative trend. Declines were seen in Paraná (-2.7%), Bahia (-2.6%), Minas Gerais (-2.4%), Pará (-2.1%), Mato Grosso (-1.6%), the Northeast Region (-1.1%), and Ceará (-0.3%). Amazonas had no change (0.0%). Positive results were recorded in Espírito Santo (3.1%), Rio Grande do Sul (1.4%), Santa Catarina (1.1%), Rio de Janeiro (1.0%), Pernambuco (0.9%), São Paulo (0.9%), and Goiás (0.5%).

The quarterly moving average changed -0.3% in the quarter ended in July 2025 compared to the previous month. There were negative rates in 8 of the 15 areas surveyed, notably Mato Grosso (-3.9%), Bahia (-1.6%), Pará (-1.3%), and Goiás (-0.9%). Espírito Santo (4.2%), Pernambuco (1.9%), and Rio de Janeiro (1.4%) saw the largest increases.

Compared to July 2024, the industrial sector changed by 0.2%. There were increases in 8 of the 18 areas surveyed, with the most pronounced increases in Espírito Santo (14.5%) and Rio de Janeiro (10.4%).

National industrial production changed -0.2% in July 2025, compared to the previous month, in the seasonally adjusted series, with negative rates in 7 of the 15 areas surveyed. Paraná (-2.7%), Bahia (-2.6%), Minas Gerais (-2.4%), and Pará (-2.1%) recorded the sharpest declines, with the first area interrupting two consecutive months of growth, a period in which it accumulated a 1.8% gain; the second and third areas declining again, after increases of 2.0% and 2.8%, respectively; and the last area accumulating a 4.7% reduction in two consecutive months of declining production. Mato Grosso (-1.6%), the Northeast Region (-1.1%), and Ceará (-0.3%) completed the set of areas with negative indices.

Amazonas, with no change (0.0%), repeated the production level recorded in June 2025. Espírito Santo (3.1%) had the highest increase and eliminated part of the 5.6% loss recorded in the previous month. Rio Grande do Sul (1.4%), Santa Catarina (1.1%), Rio de Janeiro (1.0%), Pernambuco (0.9%), São Paulo (0.9%), and Goiás (0.5%) also recorded positive results.

Still in the seasonally adjusted series, the quarterly moving average for the total industry showed a negative change of 0.3% in the quarter ending in July 2025 compared to the previous month, after also registering a decline in June (-0.4%), when it interrupted the upward trend that began in February 2025. In this same comparison, 8 of the 15 areas surveyed reported negative rates, notably Mato Grosso (-3.9%), Bahia (-1.6%), Pará (-1.3%), and Goiás (-0.9%). The main increases were recorded in Espírito Santo (4.2%), Pernambuco (1.9%), and Rio de Janeiro (1.4%).

Compared to July 2024, the industrial sector changed 0.2% in July 2025, with 8 of the 18 areas surveyed showing positive results. It is worth noting that July 2025 (23 days) had the same number of business days as the same month the previous year (23).

Espírito Santo (14.5%) and Rio de Janeiro (10.4%) saw the sharpest increases, driven by positive performance in the mining and quarrying industries (crude petroleum oils, natural gas, and pelletized or sintered iron ore) sectors in the former, and in the mining and quarrying industries (crude petroleum oils and natural gas) in the latter.

Mato Grosso do Sul (7.4%), Pernambuco (4.5%), Santa Catarina (2.2%), Goiás (2.0%), and the Northeast Region (0.8%) also saw stronger increases than the national average (0.2%). Bahia (0.1%) completed the set of areas with production growth compared to July 2024.

Amazonas and Ceará, with no change (0.0%), repeated the production level recorded in July 2024. Rio Grande do Norte (-19.1%) and Mato Grosso (-14.6%) recorded steeper declines in that month, driven by the activities of coke, petroleum products, and biofuels (diesel fuel) in the former; and coke, petroleum products, and biofuels (ethyl alcohol), chemicals (mineral or chemical fertilizers of NPK formulas and potassium chloride), and beverages (beer, draft beer, and soft drinks) in the latter. Pará (-4.2%), Rio Grande do Sul (-2.7%), Maranhão (-1.4%), Paraná (-1.1%), São Paulo (-0.9%), and Minas Gerais (-0.7%) recorded the remaining negative results compared to July 2024.

Year-to-date, the industrial sector expanded 1.1%, with positive results in 10 of the 18 areas surveyed. Pará (4.9%), Espírito Santo (4.8%), Paraná (4.3%), and Santa Catarina (4.0%) saw the sharpest growth, driven by activities in mining and quarrying industries (raw or processed manganese and copper ores) and basic metals (carbon steel rebar) in the former; mining and quarrying industries (pelletized or sintered iron ore, crude oil, and natural gas) in the latter; of electrical machinery, appliances and materials (circuit breakers, household electrical appliances and refrigerators or freezers for domestic use), motor vehicles, trailers and bodies (cars and auto parts), chemical products (herbicides and insecticides – both for use in agriculture, mineral or chemical fertilizers of the NPK and urea formulas), coke, petroleum products and biofuels (diesel fuel, motor gasoline and aviation kerosene) and machinery and equipment (loaders-transporters, combustion engines for propulsion of vessels, agricultural tractors, backhoes, drilling and probing machines used in oil prospecting, machines or equipment for the agricultural sector and parts and pieces for machinery and equipment for industrial uses), in the third; and food products (frozen poultry meat and offal, prepared and preserved fish, sausage or salami products and other pork and poultry meat preparations, fresh, chilled or frozen fish fillets and meat and frozen pork meat), machinery and equipment (lifting or conveying devices for goods, machinery and equipment for agriculture, valves, faucets, and their parts, freezers for industrial and commercial use, and centrifugal pumps, and their parts, and metal products (aluminum frames and heavy boilermaking and their parts) in the latter.

Rio de Janeiro (3.8%), Rio Grande do Sul (1.5%), and Minas Gerais (1.4%) also posted stronger growth rates than the national average (1.1%), while Goiás (1.0%), Bahia (0.6%), and Amazonas (0.1%) rounded out the list of areas with production growth in the year-to-date index. Rio Grande do Norte (-18.5%) experienced the sharpest decline in this comparison, pressured by the negative performance of coke, petroleum products, and biofuels (diesel fuel and motor gasoline). Also showing negative results: Pernambuco (-8.0%), Maranhão (-5.3%), Mato Grosso (-5.1%), Mato Grosso do Sul (-2.1%), São Paulo (-1.9%), the Northeast Region (-1.9%) and Ceará (-0.4%).

In the 12-month period, industrial production grew by 1.9%, with growth in 13 of the 18 areas surveyed, but 12 showed less dynamism compared to the June 2025 indexes. The main falls were in Rio Grande do Norte (from -12.5% ​​to -14.7%), Mato Grosso (from 3.0% to 1.1%), Pará (from 8.4% to 6.9%), Paraná (from 6.0% to 4.7%), Rio Grande do Sul (from 2.3% to 1.3%), Santa Catarina (from 6.2% to 5.3%), Amazonas (from 2.6% to 1.7%) and Ceará (from 3.1% to 2.3%). While the sharpest gains between the two periods were recorded in Espírito Santo (from -0.7% to 0.6%), Rio de Janeiro (from -1.0% to -0.1%) and Mato Grosso do Sul (from 0.1% to 0.8%).